Ball State

BAW5 rating for Ball State is +0.500
A #5 team would be expected to be 11.5 wins and 0.5 losses versus the Ball State schedule. There is only one team on the Ball State schedule that a #5 team would not be favored to win the game against over 90% of the time. Seven opponents are a 99% to win event. This brings up one flaw in the ranking system that shows up from time-to-time: How do we weight having multiple losable games in a row versus being able to intersperse the few challenges on a schedule? I'm sure I could come up with some math to do it, but it would be some ad hoc hand-waving more than anything else. Just note that Ball State's schedule was even easier than it appears, and the schedule appears to be so freaking easy that it makes me want to vomit.