Saturday, December 1, 2007

Ohio State v LSU is the BCS solution

At least according to the methodology used here.
I went through and looked how the contenders compared to
what one would expect from the #2 team in the country.

The results were Ohio State and, by a very slim margin, LSU.
It appears as though the extra SEC title game vaults LSU to
the top.

+/- compared to a #2
Ohio State +0.212W 0.899p
LSU -0.259W 0.866p
USC -0.263W 0.855p
Georgia -0.288W 0.857p
V Tech -0.577W 0.891p
Oklahoma -0.628W 0.895p

Ohio State did have the weakest schedule as shown by 0.899
expected win percentage. However, the differences based on
percentage points are small and Ohio State did only lose once
compared to the other contenders.