Expect an 'Upset'

OK, so this season has seemed to have more
than the usual amount of 'uspets.' However,
the TV talking heads have taken it too far. It
seems more than likely we'll hear about a
giant surprise and another 'upset' this week.
However, the only true upset would be if the
final 4 BCS conference undefeateds did not
lose this week. Now, I don't exactly believe
the gambling markets are efficient, but they
are the best predictor out there. According to
Pinnacle (the most efficient gambling market),
here are the chances for the four remaining
unbeatens to win this week as of this post:
Boston College 39.11%
Arizona State 57.97%
Kansas 60.12%
Ohio State 61.03%

Assuming those are accurate, the undefeated 4
can expect to go 2.182W and 1.818L this week!

WINS P
4 0.08319927
3 0.29814069
2 0.37625854
1 0.20263412
0 0.03976737

There is only an 8.32% chance that all 4
win this weekend. There is a 20.26%
chance that only one remains unbeaten
after this weekend. Have faith LSU fans,
your team still has alot to say about the
way this year's title picture shakes out.
There is a better than 60/40 chance that
2 or less BCS teams will remain without
a loss after this week. Team's are getting
tested this weekend and it is great for
fans!