Notre Dame (Charlie) v Washington (Ty) and some Island Love

I've recently come across many debates on the
whole Charlie Weis v Ty Willingham, ND v
Washington mumbo jumbo. While I hope to
keep my blog Irish free, since it's about
winning teams, I thought I'd add my two cents
based on the on-the-field Results Ranking for
a #50 teams (OTFRR50). OTFRR50 looks how
a generic #50 team in the country would do
verse a schedule and compare that to how the 
actual team did based on the methodology here. 
While, I'm at it, I'll throw in a comparison 
between the 2 schools and Hawai'i so that the 
island folk don't get on me too much for the 
last post.

The results first
OTFRR50
Hawai'i
+0.933W expected 6.067W 0.933L 0.867winp
Washington
-0.255W expected 2.255W 4.746L 0.322winp
Notre Dame
-1.893W expected 2.893W 5.108L 0.362winp

While Ty's team has underperformed compared
to a #50 team, Notre Dame is a complete joke to 
even be mentioned as a # 50 team. Also, the 
Huskies have played a tougher schedule for a #50 
team to compete against, while Notre Dame 
still gets lots of credit for a schedule that isn't 
that close to Washington's in difficulty. Finally, 
we see that Hawai'i does stand out well above a 
typical #50 team even with a light schedule.

What follows are the details:

Notre Dame if #50
G Tech 51.61%
Penn St 26.88%
Michigan 26.88%
Mich St 51.61%
Purdue 32.56%
UCLA 16.74%
B C 40.60%
USC 42.37%

WINS P
12 0.0000
11 0.0000
10 0.0000
9 0.0000
8 0.0002
7 0.0031
6 0.0222
5 0.0865
4 0.2023
3 0.2907
2 0.2513
1 0.1196
0 0.0241

Washington if #50
Syracuse 82.50%
Boise ST 48.84%
Ohio St 18.83%
UCLA 16.74%
USC 42.37%
Arizona St 5.43%
Oregon 10.74%

WINS P
12 0.0000
11 0.0000
10 0.0000
9 0.0000
8 0.0000
7 0.0000
6 0.0012
5 0.0157
4 0.0949
3 0.2782
2 0.3741
1 0.2065
0 0.0294

Hawai'i if #50
N Colorado 100.00%
La Tech 70.85%
UNLV 70.85%
Charleston So 100.00%
Idaho 91.96%
Utah St 92.39%
SJST 80.66%

WINS P
12 0.0000
11 0.0000
10 0.0000
9 0.0000
8 0.0000
7 0.3440
6 0.4240
5 0.1907
4 0.0380
3 0.0033
2 0.0001
1 0.0000
0 0.0000

Sorry Domers, we deal in cold hard facts around here.