Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Who's the Best Headed in to Conference Title Weekend?

Yeah, I haven't done this forever. Who cares? It's only the end that counts, right? Not really. I've just been busy with other stuff. Regardless, here are the current BAW5 rankings. Yes, this ranking does favor Texas over Oklahoma if you want to get into that debate. This is not too surprising given Oklahoma's big selling point is the Sooners' margin of victory in some of its big wins. Since the BAW does not include too much MOV, the Longhorns reign supreme due to a tougher schedule.

EW EL BAW5
Bama 10.535 1.465 1.465
Texas 9.748 2.252 1.252
T Tech 9.784 2.216 1.216
Oklahoma 9.802 2.198 1.198
Utah 10.997 1.003 1.003
Boise St. 11.123 0.877 0.877
Florida 10.353 1.647 0.647
Penn St 10.363 1.637 0.637
USC 9.441 1.559 0.559
Note that the Sooners will pass the Longhorns with a win over Mizzou. Thus, the Sooners can become a self-fulfilling prophecy of sorts for BCS voters. More troublesome is that Florida will likely not pass a few teams even with a win over Bama. Oh well... it's clearly not a perfect world in college football.

Unsurprising is that Boise St has had an easy schedule. Somewhat surprising is that the Broncos have a better BAW5 than Florida, Penn St, and USC at this point.
Team Epct
Texas 0.812
T Tech 0.815
Oklahoma 0.817
USC 0.858
Florida 0.863
Penn St 0.864
Bama 0.878
Utah 0.916
Boise St. 0.927

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