Digging Through the One Loss Teams

Right now, there are a mess of contenders
with one loss. I decided to apply the OTFRR
methodology to see how the teams measure
up. Let's see how everyone has done in W/L
compared to what we'd expect a #5 team to
do verse their respective schedules.

OTFRR#5 (Methodology)
Ohio State + 1.065 Expected 8.935 W 0.893 Winp
Kansas + 0.797 Expected 8.203 W 0.911 Winp
LSU + 0.662 Expected 7.338 W 0.815 Winp
Oregon + 0.469 Expected 7.531 W 0.837 Winp
Mizzou + 0.404 Expected 7.596 W 0.844 Winp
Arizona State + 0.318 Expected 7.682 W 0.854 Winp
West Virginia + 0.036 Expected 7.964 W 0.885 Winp
Oklahoma -0.013 Expected 8.013 W 0.890 Winp
Boston College -0.146 Expected 8.146 W 0.905 Winp

Digging through, the schedule strength from
easiest to hardest goes as follows:
Kansas
Boston College
Ohio State
Oklahoma
West Virginia
Arizona State
Mizzou
Oregon
LSU

As most college football experts hypothesize,
LSU and Oregon are the class of one-loss
teams. However, Mizzou is going under the
radar and should be getting some more
pub. They've looked impressive in a points
evaluations as well, which isn't considered
here. With Kansas and a potential BigXII
title game, Mizzou can make a major jump
in reality as well as in this evaluation tool.

I don't think Oregon can pass LSU if they
both run out the season due to LSU's lead
right now and the additional SEC title
game. But, alot can change. The SEC has
many intersectional games left that can
cause a change in how the LSU opponents
look at season's end.

Sorry UConn fans that I didn't consider you.
If your team wins next week, I'll have to add
in an evaluation.